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Civil War Cotton Embargo Price Spike: How it applies to today's Oil embargo price spike.
Civil War Cotton Embargo Price Spike: How it applies to today's Oil embargo price spike.

War embargoes trigger a recurring cycle: supply shocks drive price spikes, speculation surges, trade routes shift, and liquidity tightens. The Civil War cotton crisis mirrors the 1970s oil shocks and today’s energy markets—featuring demand destruction, falling real incomes, and cost-push inflation. These booms end in crashes, as capital misallocation and banking stress unwind the speculative excess.

Remember how the oil interests were lobbying against nuclear back in the 1970s embargo, and now they are lobbying against solar and wind?
Remember how the oil interests were lobbying against nuclear back in the 1970s embargo, and now they are lobbying against solar and wind?

Remember how oil interests lobbied against nuclear during the 1970s embargo, and now push against solar and wind? Oil lost electricity; now natural gas faces the same threat. Nuclear acts as a decoy—baseload, expensive, and not flexible. Wind, solar, and EVs disrupt variable demand and transport. Energy transitions repeat: oil → electricity, gas → electricity, oil → transport. RINSE / REPEAT.